Defending champions England were steamrolled by New Zealand in a 9-wicket loss with 12.5 overs to spare. Devon Conway and Rachin Ravindra made the English attack look absolutely toothless in the absence of their star bowler Jofra Archer. 5-time champions Australia lost to India by 6 wickets with 8.4 overs in hand, as KL Rahul and Virat Kohli’s ice-cold partnership weathered the storm after India were 2/3 in a 200-run chase.

As of the NZ v Netherlands game, the margin of the losses took a massive hit on their🧸 net run rates; (-0.833) for Australia & (-2.149) for England. However, England bounced back in style against Bangladesh at Dharamsala. This took their net run rate back up to (+0.553). 

How England’s and Australia’s early losses changed previous World Cups

England were almost back to their best with both bat and ball, thrashing them by 137 runs. They scored quick runs throughout the innings and reached 364/9 despite a𒆙 bit of a collapse. With the ball, they took early wickets and sea𝄹led the game in their favour.

Both teams saw their odds drop. England’s fell from 3-1 to 5-1, while Australia’s went from 4-1 to 11-2. South Africa, and two-time finalists New Zealand, are both at 6-1 after starting their campaigns well. India are a red-hot favourite (6-4).

So essentially, the tournament has opened up from having three top contenders (India, England, and Australia) to one main favourite, India, while England, Australꦉia, South Africa, and New Zealand are just bꦉehind them in the same tier. This means there are five potential winners now, as opposed to three before the start of the tournament.

Australia’s semi-final chances

Australia are still extremely likely (4-9) to make the semi-finals, so this loss against the hosts shouldn’t really derail their campaign too much. However, they have never won a World Cup when they lost a game to India, and this was the first time they lost the first match of their tournament since 1996.

Australia’s crucial matches were with South Africa, which South Africa won by 134 runs, and against Sri Lanka, which Australia won by 5 wickets. Now they have an upcoming game against Pakistan on October 20 where cricket bookies favour them to win.

Australia vs Pakistan odds

  • Australia to win at 1.57 with
  • Pakistan to win at 2.47 with

Obviously, winning all three was the ideal scenario. But they should win at least two of these three games so that they’re not in a spot of bother in the latter stages of the tournament. As expected, the game against South Africa was challenging and they have defeated them before in a bilateral series, and on top of that, are in red-hot form. 

England’s semi-final chances

England are also almost certain (8-13)💖 to reach the semi-finals. They have a well-oiled white-ball team that had an off-day against New Zealand in the World Cup opener. Plus, the return of Ben Stokes will strengthen their playing 11 a lot more. Their next crucial matches for England are against South Africa at 𝐆Wankhede and Sri Lanka at Chinnaswamy Stadium.

Expect the game agai🐲nst South Africa to be an abs𝄹olute run-fest, if the pitch for this match is like the one in the latest season of the IPL. The quality of bowling might make a difference since both sides are batting-heavy in structure but not in the best form with the ball. They have far too much batting power for the other two encounters, so they’re expected to have at least 3 or 4 wins out of their first 5 matches by the time they come to the business end of the tournament. 

England still need to work on their death bowling in the absence of Jofra Archer. It may not be a cause for concern against Afghanistan which is a top-heavy side. However, South Afric🧔a have been extremely good in the death overs with the likes of Markram, Miller and Klaasen in terrific form. Even the in-form Sri Lankan batters might end up exploiting the weaknesses in the English a𓃲ttack in the small boundaries of Chinnaswamy.

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